Superfast Broadband Makes its Way to the Mainstream

MONTPELLIER, FRANCE — Within the latest edition of its half-yearly updated observatory for superfast-broadband access, IDATE, a provider of FTTx intelligence, announced the impressive milestone of 300 million subscriptions at mid-June 2015, for world consolidated. Furthermore, superfast technologies represented nearly 38 percent of broadband access subscriptions at mid-2015, 8 points more than one year before. For the definition of superfast platforms we consider three main architectures: FTTH/B, VDSL and FTTx/D3.0 deployed by cable operators.

FTTH/B is still the leading superfast broadband solution, far ahead of FTTx/D3.0, followed by VDSL

  • FTTH/B represented 61 percent of FTTx subscriptions at mid-2015. Growth of FTTH/B subscriptions will continue until 2019, but at a lower pace than during 2014, year of real success in China.

  • FTTx/D3.0 represented at June 2015, 27 percent of FTTx subscriptions. After two years of significant growth, proportion of FTTx/D3.0 on Superfast Broadband is stable

  • VDSL, for its part, lagged behind, representing 12 percent of subscriptions at mid-2015 compared to 13 percent in June 2014

The regional breakdown is very heterogeneous

  • No huge changes in the geographical predominance of APAC on the FTTH/B market.

  • FTTH/B is also the main deployed technology in MENA. It was the case also in LATAM, but now it is meeting stronger competition from VDSL technologies in the region (Brazilian market).

  • FTTx/D3.0 is still dominant in North America and is generally growing more rapidly than other technologies.

  • There is considerable space for VDSL in Europe where incumbents still wish to optimize their copper networks

The growth rate of FTTH/B subscriptions should continue to increase at an annual average rate of 10 percent until 2019

  • The growth in the total number of FTTH/B subscribers will gradually decrease from 37 percent in 2014 to 6 percent in 2019: this is linked to the progressive maturity of the markets.

  • By 2019, the share of FTTH/B subscriptions will represent 32 percent of total broadband market worldwide (to be compared to 22 percent at end 2014).

  • FTTH/B is now deployed in all major regions in the world, at different levels: FTTH/B represents a great opportunity for countries where broadband is not widespread (Latin America, Africa and some countries in Asia-Pacific).

The take-up rate of FTTH/B worldwide will grow gradually from 32 percent at end-2015 to 34 percent by end-2019

While regional disparities will persist, the ranking of leading regions will change:

  • Eastern Europe will see its take-up rate grow from 30 percent to 41 percent from end-2015 to end-2019, much higher than in Western Europe, from 26 percent to 40 percent during the same period.

  • In North America, the take-up rate will rise from 41 percent to 46 percent at end 2019.

  • In Asia-Pacific, the take-up rate will grow thanks to the dynamism of China and new markets such as Indonesia, Kazakhstan and Vietnam.

  • In Latin America, the adoption rate will be steady as FTTH/B is at is early stage and players will focus more on expanding coverage.

  • IDATE publishes a half-yearly updated FTTx observatory, gathering qualitative and quantitative data of 70 countries and +150 players.


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